Republican Tim Sheehy defeats 3-term incumbent to flip Montana US Senate seat

Republican Tim Sheehy has defeated three-term Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester
Republican Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy speaks during an election night watch party Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024, in Bozeman, Mont. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Republican Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy speaks during an election night watch party Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024, in Bozeman, Mont. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

BILLINGS, Mont. (AP) — Republican Tim Sheehy bolstered the GOP’s Senate majority with a victory over three-term Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester in a contest of national importance that featured a record-setting torrent of spending by the two sides.

Sheehy, a former U.S. Navy SEAL, closely aligned his campaign with Donald Trump and leading conservatives while painting Tester as a corrupt Washington insider. The Republican also promised to address the southern border crisis and curb government regulation.

Democrats entered Tuesday's election with a narrow two-seat majority in the Senate. Tester — a moderate and the chamber’s only working farmer — was considered one of the most vulnerable Democrats on the ballot nationwide.

Republicans took control of the Senate on Tuesday night with wins in Ohio and West Virginia.

Sheehy said in a statement that he's been serving the country since he was 18 and was honored to continue his service in the Senate.

“Since day one, we’ve been running a grassroots campaign, talking directly with Montanans about how we make Montana affordable again, make America strong again, and bring back Montana common sense, which means a secure border, safe streets, cheap gas, cops are good, criminals are bad, boys are boys, and girls are girls,” he said.

Sheehy, 38, sought to dent Tester's reputation for authenticity by highlighting more than $500,000 that lobbyists and their families donated to the lawmaker during the last election cycle.

The tactic mirrored Tester’s own 2006 campaign, when he beat a three-term Republican incumbent who got ensnared in a Washington, D.C. lobbying scandal.

Sheehy touted his military service and business experience, and pushed past questions raised over a bullet wound that he admitted lying about. He also sought to highlight his private sector success as the founder of an aerial firefighting company — even as the firm’s stock price tumbled.

Sheehy pitched the race as one of national importance for Republicans eager to undo four years of Democratic rule in the Senate and White House.

Tester was the last member of his party to hold statewide office in Montana and the last Democratic senator from the five-state Northern Plains region. When he first entered office in 2006, Democrats held six of the region’s 10 Senate seats.

Hoping to withstand the conservative wave that’s swept the region, Tester, 68, appealed to moderate Republicans and independents. That included pairing his Senate campaign with a ballot proposal enshrining abortion rights into the state constitution — along with frequent reminders to voters that he’s a working farmer who’s also worked hard for them.

He also tried to distance himself from Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris in hopes of appealing to moderate Republicans and independent voters.

Tester said he called Sheehy on Wednesday morning to congratulate him. He also thanked his supporters and said he'd go back to working on his farm.

“Look, I’m very, very blessed,” he said. “I’ve had a great 18 years in the United States Senate. I’ve met some incredible people along the way and had the opportunity to do some great things to help move this state forward, move the country forward."

About 4 in 10 voters said Senate control was the most important factor in deciding how to vote in Montana’s Senate race, according to AP VoteCast, a sweeping survey of more than 1,100 voters in the state.

Overall, almost 6 in 10 Montana voters said the future of democracy was the most important factor in casting their vote. About one-third said the high price of groceries, gas, and other goods was the most important factor, and roughly 3 in 10 voters said the future of free speech in the US.

About a quarter of voters said abortion policy was the top factor in casting their vote in the general election.

Tester’s narrow 2006 victory over a three-term incumbent Republican marked a high point for Montana Democrats. It came in a mid-term election and amid growing dissatisfaction with the Bush administration’s war in Iraq.

More than $300 million was spent in this year's contest, much of it from outside groups with shadowy donors. The spending equated to about $500 for each active voter — a record on a per-voter basis.

Democrats had a significant cash advantage, and in the race's final days, Tester's campaign plastered Montana newspapers and airwaves with advertisements amplifying claims from a former park ranger that Sheehy lied about a bullet wound in his arm.

Sheehy said the wound came from combat in Afghanistan and wasn’t accidentally self-inflicted as he told the ranger in 2015. The Republican said Tester’s campaign was engaging in character assassination and other SEALs vouched for Sheehy’s integrity, but he didn't release any corroborating medical records.

Montana’s political profile has shifted dramatically since Tester’s first election. It went from a “purple” state that traditionally sent a mix of Democrats and Republicans to higher offices, to one where partisan divisions rule and the GOP enjoys a supermajority in the state Legislature.

Tester warned throughout the campaign about “outsiders” such as Sheehy — who came to Montana in 2014 and bought a ranch — driving up housing prices and restricting hunting and fishing access for the general public.

Voter Kael Richards, 22, of Bozeman said Montana residents typically resent rich people from out of state like Sheehy. But Richards said he was willing to look beyond that factor for the Senate race and was impressed when he found out Sheehy ran an aerial firefighting business.

“Tester’s been there so long, since we’ve grown up we’ve known nothing but Tester,” Richards said. “I feel like there needs to be a change. Our housing prices have never been higher. Our land prices have never been higher.”

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Associated Press writer Amy Beth Hanson contributed from Great Falls, Montana.

Republican Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, right, kisses his wife, Carmen Sheehy, during an election night watch party Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024, in Bozeman, Mont. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Republican Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy speaks during an election night watch party Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024, in Bozeman, Mont. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester concedes the Montana Senate race to Republican Tim Sheehy in Great Falls, Mont. on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. (Thom Bridge/Independent Record via AP)

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Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester concedes the Montana Senate race to Republican Tim Sheehy in Great Falls, Mont. on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. (Thom Bridge /Independent Record via AP)

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People fill out ballots during Election Day, at MetraPark, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Billings, Mont. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)

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Kirsten Kearse, right, casts her ballot at the Missoula Public Library in Missoula, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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People wait in line to vote outside a polling place on Election Day at MetraPark, Nov. 5, 2024, in Billings, Mont. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)

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A Yellowstone County election worker places a ballot into a box at MetraPark on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Billings, Mont. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)

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People fill out ballots during Election Day at MetraPark, Nov. 5, 2024, in Billings, Mont. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)

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Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester walks off stage after conceding the Montana Senate race to Republican Tim Sheehy in Great Falls, Mont. on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. (Thom Bridge /Independent Record via AP)

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FILE - This combination of images shows from left, U.S. Sen. Jon Tester, and opponent, Republican Montana Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, during a debate in Missoula, Mont., on Sept. 30, 2024. (Ben Allan Smith/The Missoulian via AP, File)

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U.S. Sen. Jon Tester, a Democrat from Montana seeking re-election to a fourth term, is seen at a campaign rally in a hotel ballroom, Oct. 25, 2024, in Bozeman, Mont. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)

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FILE - U.S. Senate candidate Tim Sheehy talks about his campaign, Friday, Feb. 9, 2024, in Helena, Mont. Sheehy is seeking the Republican nomination to challenge U.S. Sen. Jon Tester in the November election. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

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Charles Cunningham plays the piano as his mother Pearl votes at Drummond Community Hall in Drummond, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Karen DesRosier places an "I Voted" sticker on her chest after casting a ballot at the Drummond Community Hall in Drummond, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Signs marking a polling place stand in Bonner, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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"I Voted" stickers are seen at Drummond Community Hall in Drummond, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Missoulians vote at the Missoula Public Library in Missoula, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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A home decorated to support Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump in Anaconda, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Charles and Pearl Cunningham walk into Drummond Community Hall to vote in Drummond, Mont., on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Tommy Martino)

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Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont., left, receives a hug from supporter Brianne Laurin during an election night watch party Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Great Falls, Mont. (AP Photo/Mike Clark)

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U.S. Sen. Jon Tester addresses supporters during his election night party in Great Falls, Mont., Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (Thom Bridge/Independent Record via AP)

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U.S. Sen. Jon Tester addresses supporters during his election night party in Great Falls, Mont., Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (Thom Bridge/Independent Record via AP)

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U.S. Sen. Jon Tester addresses supporters during his election night party in Great Falls, Mont., Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (Thom Bridge/Independent Record via AP)

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Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester concedes the Montana Senate race to Republican Tim Sheehy in Great Falls, Mont. on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. (Thom Bridge /Independent Record via AP)

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Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester concedes the Montana Senate race to Republican Tim Sheehy in Great Falls, Mont. on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. (Thom Bridge /Independent Record via AP)

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